Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
SUN
1 - 0
LEE
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1947 |
LEE
0 - 2
MUD
33%
23%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEE
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
LEE
1 - 2
BRE
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BPO
3 - 0
LEE
71%
16%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 3
GRI
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1947 |
SHE
1 - 2
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1947 |
SUN
4 - 1
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |