Lecce vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
CES
45%
29%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
45%
28%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
5 - 0
MOD
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
42%
31%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
RIM
0 - 0
SSS
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |