Lecce vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 1
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
PIS
3 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 0
CAT
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAV
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
CAV
2 - 1
USC
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
CAV
1 - 1
USF
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
5 - 0
CAV
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |