Lecce vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 1
LEC
37%
25%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 1
FRO
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 0
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
FOL
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
SCA
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VFC
0 - 1
FOL
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARZ
29%
27%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 1
FOL
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |