Leça FC vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
1º
3
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 52 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 49 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 45 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 44 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 41 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 29 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 12 |
14º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
80% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 0
ALP
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BMA
0 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAS
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 0
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 3
MAR
34%
27%
40%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
BMA
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
10 - 0
REG
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
REG
69%
17%
13%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
12 - 0
REG
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COI
4 - 1
REG
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |