Leça FC vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.3%
76.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
20.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
27.3%
0-2
19.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 0
FAR
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
FCB
4 - 2
LEC
74%
15%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 6
SCP
19%
18%
63%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 5
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
CAR
3 - 1
LEC
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1995 |
GFC
0 - 1
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
0 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |