Lebring vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2017 |
LBN
2 - 0
LEB
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 3
LEB
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
LEB
2 - 0
FUR
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
GNA
1 - 5
LEB
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
LEB
6 - 1
MET
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2017 |
HGK
3 - 0
FUR
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
GNA
4 - 0
HGK
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
HGK
2 - 3
MET
41%
22%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
VOI
2 - 0
HGK
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HGK
1 - 1
ANN
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |