National League North round 27

Leamington vs Darlington FC analysis

Leamington Darlington FC
46 ELO 49
-12.2% Tilt -21.8%
4335º General ELO ranking 3750º
187º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
28.7%
Leamington
25.6%
Draw
45.7%
Darlington FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
Leamington
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.7%
Win probability
Darlington FC
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
-22%
+17%
Darlington FC

ELO progression

Leamington
Darlington FC
Marine
Alfreton Town
Oxford City
Warrington Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2025
LEA
Leamington
1 - 4
Chester
CHE
27%
25%
48%
46 51 5 0
01 Jan. 2025
LEA
Leamington
2 - 1
Hereford
HER
36%
27%
38%
45 48 3 +1
26 Dec. 2024
BRA
Brackley Town
2 - 1
Leamington
LEA
57%
25%
18%
46 52 6 -1
21 Dec. 2024
LEA
Leamington
4 - 1
Curzon Ashton
CUR
22%
28%
50%
45 55 10 +1
14 Dec. 2024
SPE
Spennymoor Town
2 - 1
Leamington
LEA
68%
19%
13%
45 51 6 0

Matches

Darlington FC
Darlington FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2025
SOU
South Shields
0 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
45%
24%
31%
49 47 2 0
26 Dec. 2024
DAR
Darlington FC
4 - 3
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
55%
24%
21%
49 45 4 0
21 Dec. 2024
NEE
Needham Market
0 - 1
Darlington FC
DAR
20%
23%
57%
49 38 11 0
14 Dec. 2024
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 1
Oxford City
OXF
53%
23%
24%
49 44 5 0
10 Dec. 2024
DAR
Darlington FC
2 - 1
Hereford
HER
44%
25%
31%
49 49 0 0