National League North round 3

Leamington vs Alfreton Town analysis

Leamington Alfreton Town
49 ELO 51
-18.4% Tilt -15.9%
4309º General ELO ranking 3940º
188º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
32.3%
Leamington
27.5%
Draw
40.2%
Alfreton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
Leamington
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.2%
Win probability
Alfreton Town
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leamington
-22%
-28%
Alfreton Town

ELO progression

Leamington
Alfreton Town
Oxford City
Scarborough Athletic
Warrington Town
Darlington FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leamington
Leamington
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
LEA
Leamington
3 - 1
Spennymoor Town
SPE
29%
26%
46%
47 50 3 0
10 Aug. 2024
BUX
Buxton
2 - 1
Leamington
LEA
44%
26%
31%
48 46 2 -1
03 Aug. 2024
LEA
Leamington
0 - 1
Halesowen Town
HAL
52%
25%
24%
48 40 8 0
26 Jul. 2024
LEA
Leamington
2 - 0
Leicester U21
LEI
38%
24%
38%
48 43 5 0
20 Jul. 2024
STR
Stratford Town
1 - 2
Leamington
LEA
38%
25%
37%
48 43 5 0

Matches

Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
ALF
Alfreton Town
3 - 0
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
48%
24%
27%
50 47 3 0
10 Aug. 2024
SOU
Southport
3 - 1
Alfreton Town
ALF
25%
24%
51%
51 42 9 -1
30 Jul. 2024
ALF
Alfreton Town
1 - 1
Mansfield Town
MAN
10%
17%
73%
50 69 19 +1
23 Jul. 2024
ALF
Alfreton Town
0 - 3
Rotherham United
ROT
17%
21%
61%
51 62 11 -1
20 Jul. 2024
ALF
Alfreton Town
0 - 0
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
56%
22%
22%
51 43 8 0