Leamington vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 2
LEA
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
LEA
0 - 3
AFC
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NUN
4 - 0
LEA
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LEA
2 - 3
STO
34%
29%
37%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
KID
2 - 0
LEA
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NUN
2 - 2
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
4 - 0
CUR
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KID
2 - 1
ALF
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 1
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
NOR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |