Le Puy vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
14º
2º
11
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LPV
22%
26%
51%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 2
FRE
56%
26%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
LPV
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 1
JUR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
LPV
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 2
CAN
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
GRA
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOU
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |