Le Puy vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
LPV
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LPV
0 - 1
ANG
69%
21%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AGD
1 - 5
LPV
10%
20%
71%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 0
LPV
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 2
LPV
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 2
NIC
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 0
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 2
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
MPL
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MPL
3 - 1
BRE
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |