Serie A round 33

Lazio vs Siena analysis

Lazio Siena
86 ELO 78
-2.8% Tilt 3.7%
36º General ELO ranking 4465º
Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
63.4%
Lazio
22.2%
Draw
14.4%
Siena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
Lazio
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.4%
Win probability
Siena
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
+6%
+2%
Siena

ELO progression

Lazio
Siena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2008
PAR
Parma
2 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
34%
26%
39%
86 79 7 0
29 Mar. 2008
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Inter
INT
25%
26%
49%
86 93 7 0
22 Mar. 2008
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
53%
24%
24%
86 87 1 0
19 Mar. 2008
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Roma
ROM
28%
26%
47%
86 91 5 0
15 Mar. 2008
UDI
Udinese
2 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
40%
26%
34%
86 83 3 0

Matches

Siena
Siena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2008
SIE
Siena
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
35%
27%
38%
78 83 5 0
30 Mar. 2008
LIV
Livorno
0 - 0
Siena
SIE
47%
27%
26%
78 77 1 0
22 Mar. 2008
SIE
Siena
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
43%
27%
30%
78 79 1 0
19 Mar. 2008
CAT
Catania
0 - 0
Siena
SIE
45%
27%
28%
78 75 3 0
16 Mar. 2008
REG
Reggina
4 - 0
Siena
SIE
49%
26%
25%
79 78 1 -1