Lazio vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 4
LAZ
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
PAL
2 - 2
LAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 3
LAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
LAZ
3 - 1
NAP
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
LAZ
5 - 1
PAL
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 3
LAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
PAL
3 - 2
ROM
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |