Lazio vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
LAZ
5 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 2
PRO
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 1
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |