Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Lazio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
REG
2 - 1
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LAZ
2 - 1
INT
46%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 2
PAR
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 2
REG
66%
20%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 1
VNZ
76%
16%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |