Serie A round 30

Lazio vs Juventus analysis

Lazio Juventus
91 ELO 94
-6.9% Tilt 8.9%
32º General ELO ranking 11º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.3%
Lazio
27%
Draw
41.7%
Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
Lazio
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.6%
Win probability
Juventus
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Lazio
Their league position
Juventus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
18º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
94
94
100%
Milan
75
75
100%
Atalanta
69
72
72%
Juventus
71
71
72%
Bologna
68
68
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Lazio
61
61
100%
Fiorentina
57
57
100%
Napoli
10º
53
53
0%
Torino
53
53
10º
0%
Genoa
11º
49
49
11º
100%
AC Monza
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Hellas Verona
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Lecce
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Udinese
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Empoli
16º
36
36
16º
0%
Cagliari
17º
36
36
17º
0%
Frosinone
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Sassuolo
19º
30
30
19º
100%
Salernitana
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lazio
Juventus
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lazio
Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
27%
24%
49%
90 83 7 0
11 Mar. 2024
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Udinese
UDI
63%
22%
16%
90 84 6 0
05 Mar. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
82%
12%
6%
90 99 9 0
01 Mar. 2024
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
34%
26%
41%
90 93 3 0
26 Feb. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
41%
24%
35%
90 88 2 0

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
JUV
Juventus
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
75%
17%
8%
94 84 10 0
10 Mar. 2024
JUV
Juventus
2 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
50%
25%
26%
94 92 2 0
03 Mar. 2024
NAP
Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus
JUV
46%
26%
28%
94 93 1 0
25 Feb. 2024
JUV
Juventus
3 - 2
Frosinone
FRO
71%
18%
10%
94 83 11 0
17 Feb. 2024
VER
Hellas Verona
2 - 2
Juventus
JUV
17%
25%
57%
94 79 15 0