Lazio vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 2
LAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LAZ
0 - 1
NAP
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 1
LAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 1
LEC
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAT
0 - 2
UDI
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAT
45%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
REG
1 - 1
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |