Lazio vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
REG
3 - 1
LAZ
53%
29%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 0
USF
41%
32%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BAR
40%
31%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1968 |
TOR
4 - 0
BOL
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 1
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |