Lausanne Sport II vs La Chaux-de-Fonds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
4º
7
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 66 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 60 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 55 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 45 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 43 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 31 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 19 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sport II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
5 - 3
FCC
69%
17%
13%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
LAU
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 6
LAU
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCM
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
LAU
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Chaux-de-Fonds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 0
NAT
19%
24%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEY
3 - 0
LAC
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 2
CSC
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 1
SEC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
LAC
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |