Launceston City vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
5º
47
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CZF
1 - 1
LAU
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 3
KIN
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
LAU
87%
10%
4%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
GLE
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ROF
2 - 2
SOU
6%
11%
83%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
DEV
32%
23%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
GLE
73%
15%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
6 - 0
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 1
SOU
7%
12%
82%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | +1 |