Latina vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
10º
19º
19º
28
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 77 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 66 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 65 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 65 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 65 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 61 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 58 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 55 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 54 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 47 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 45 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 44 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 42 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 38 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
20º
|
7 | 37 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
19º
|
9 | 34 |
18º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 34 |
19º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 33 |
20º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 64.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 1
LAT
64%
23%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 2
ASD
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
LAT
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 1
SSC
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
LAT
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
TRA
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MES
0 - 0
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CRO
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
MON
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |