Larne vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
7º
1º
17
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 4
LAR
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |