National Premier Norte NSW round 14

Lake Macquarie vs Newcastle Olympic analysis

Lake Macquarie Newcastle Olympic
16 ELO 23
3% Tilt 10.8%
21428º General ELO ranking 8900º
133º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
27.5%
Lake Macquarie
23.1%
Draw
49.4%
Newcastle Olympic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
Lake Macquarie
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.4%
Win probability
Newcastle Olympic
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lake Macquarie
-69%
+3%
Newcastle Olympic

ELO progression

Lake Macquarie
Newcastle Olympic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lake Macquarie
Lake Macquarie
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2021
LAK
Lake Macquarie
2 - 3
Lambton Jaffas FC
LAM
14%
20%
67%
17 35 18 0
18 Jun. 2021
MAI
Maitland
1 - 0
Lake Macquarie
LAK
77%
14%
9%
17 33 16 0
06 Jun. 2021
BRO
Broadmeadow Magic
4 - 1
Lake Macquarie
LAK
81%
12%
7%
17 34 17 0
29 May. 2021
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
1 - 3
Lake Macquarie
LAK
17%
19%
64%
17 10 7 0
22 May. 2021
LAK
Lake Macquarie
1 - 1
Valentine Phoenix
VAL
72%
16%
12%
17 12 5 0

Matches

Newcastle Olympic
Newcastle Olympic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2021
HAM
Newcastle Olympic
1 - 2
Edgeworth Eagles
EDG
22%
21%
58%
24 38 14 0
30 Jun. 2021
HAM
Newcastle Olympic
0 - 4
Broadmeadow Magic
BRO
30%
22%
48%
25 35 10 -1
27 Jun. 2021
MAI
Maitland
3 - 1
Newcastle Olympic
HAM
63%
20%
17%
26 34 8 -1
05 Jun. 2021
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
2 - 0
Newcastle Olympic
HAM
10%
18%
73%
28 10 18 -2
30 May. 2021
VAL
Valentine Phoenix
0 - 1
Newcastle Olympic
HAM
12%
19%
70%
28 12 16 0