La Tour d'Auvergne vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
14º
8º
25
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 45 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 42 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 40 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 35 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Tour d'Auvergne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
0 - 1
LAT
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LAT
1 - 1
LAV
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
3 - 0
LAT
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LAT
1 - 2
PAN
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NAN
0 - 0
LAT
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
USS
0 - 3
ANG
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
USS
1 - 0
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 3
USS
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
USS
0 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
USS
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |