National 3 Bretagne round 5

La Tour d'Auvergne vs Plabennec analysis

La Tour d'Auvergne Plabennec
28 ELO 39
-6.4% Tilt -8.8%
7931º General ELO ranking 9211º
198º Country ELO ranking 253º
ELO win probability
26.4%
La Tour d'Auvergne
23.5%
Draw
50.1%
Plabennec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
La Tour d'Auvergne
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.1%
Win probability
Plabennec
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Tour d'Auvergne
+47%
-55%
Plabennec

Points and table prediction

La Tour d'Auvergne
Their league position
Plabennec
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
27
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinan-Léhon
54
57
100%
Saint-Pierre Milizac
46
49
100%
Union Sportive Fougères
41
44
51%
Vitré
39
42
51%
Lannion
37
37
57%
Saint-Colomban Locminé
35
36
21%
La Tour d'Auvergne
33
36
64%
Stade Briochin II
31
32
78.5%
OC Cesson
30
31
78.5%
Pontivy
10º
30
30
10º
80%
Plabennec
11º
27
27
11º
47%
Stade Brestois II
12º
26
26
12º
67%
ES Dol
13º
23
23
13º
66%
Montagnarde
14º
21
22
14º
66%
Expected probabilities
La Tour d'Auvergne
Plabennec
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 20%
Relegation
0% 80%

ELO progression

La Tour d'Auvergne
Plabennec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Tour d'Auvergne
La Tour d'Auvergne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
DOL
ES Dol
0 - 1
La Tour d'Auvergne
LAT
19%
20%
61%
29 17 12 0
01 Oct. 2022
LAT
La Tour d'Auvergne
1 - 0
Lannion
LAN
60%
21%
20%
28 22 6 +1
17 Sep. 2022
VIT
Vitré
1 - 1
La Tour d'Auvergne
LAT
69%
17%
13%
28 37 9 0
03 Sep. 2022
LAT
La Tour d'Auvergne
3 - 1
Pontivy
PON
48%
24%
28%
27 26 1 +1
27 Aug. 2022
DIN
Dinan-Léhon
3 - 0
La Tour d'Auvergne
LAT
58%
22%
20%
28 34 6 -1

Matches

Plabennec
Plabennec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
PLA
Plabennec
1 - 0
Cholet
CHO
10%
18%
72%
37 55 18 0
22 Oct. 2022
PLA
Plabennec
1 - 1
Lannion
LAN
77%
15%
9%
37 22 15 0
01 Oct. 2022
PLA
Plabennec
5 - 1
Pontivy
PON
72%
17%
11%
36 25 11 +1
17 Sep. 2022
DIN
Dinan-Léhon
3 - 2
Plabennec
PLA
40%
25%
36%
37 35 2 -1
03 Sep. 2022
PLA
Plabennec
1 - 1
Saint-Pierre Milizac
SPM
58%
20%
22%
38 33 5 -1