La Luz FC vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
16º
16º
35
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
LUZ
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 1
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 3
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 0
LFC
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 0
DAN
72%
17%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
LFC
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |