La Luz FC vs Albion FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
14º
11º
33
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
COL
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 0
LUZ
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ATE
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 0
UMO
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
LUZ
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
2 - 0
ALB
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
REN
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
ALB
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ALB
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |