Ventura County vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
LAG
53%
21%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
LAG
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
SPK
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 1
LAG
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
VAN
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
HOU
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
LAF
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VAN
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STL
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |