Ventura County vs Irvine Zeta II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 2
HOU
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
STL
4 - 1
LAG
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 2
LAF
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 5
SPK
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |