L'Aquila vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 2
LAQ
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 1
LAQ
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 0
BOR
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
LAQ
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 4
BOR
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 2
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
GAV
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 0
FON
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
GAV
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |