L'Aquila vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAQ
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 1
LAQ
21%
24%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LAQ
2 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
USN
1 - 3
LAQ
7%
15%
78%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 3
REC
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
FRA
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
FRA
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAM
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
OLY
68%
18%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |