NPFL round 12

Kwara United vs Doma United FC analysis

Kwara United Doma United FC
66 ELO 30
-13.5% Tilt -8.3%
1306º General ELO ranking 7047º
18º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
71.1%
Kwara United
19.2%
Draw
9.7%
Doma United FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
Kwara United
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
Doma United FC
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Kwara United
Their league position
Doma United FC
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
17º
13º
43
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Enugu Rangers
70
70
100%
Remo Stars
65
65
100%
Shooting Stars
62
62
100%
Enyimba
61
61
100%
Plateau United
59
59
100%
Lobi Stars
58
58
100%
Katsina United
55
55
100%
Abia Warriors
54
54
100%
Rivers United
53
53
100%
Bendel Insurance
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Kano Pillars
11º
52
52
11º
0%
Sunshine Stars
12º
52
52
12º
0%
Kwara United
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Niger Tornadoes
14º
51
51
14º
100%
Bayelsa United
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Akwa United
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Sporting Lagos FC
17º
46
46
17º
100%
Doma United FC
18º
43
43
18º
100%
Heartland Owerri
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Gombe United
20º
25
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kwara United
Doma United FC
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Kwara United
Doma United FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kwara United
Kwara United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
AKW
Akwa United
1 - 1
Kwara United
KWA
57%
24%
19%
65 71 6 0
26 Nov. 2023
KWA
Kwara United
2 - 0
Gombe United
GOM
42%
29%
30%
65 66 1 0
18 Nov. 2023
BEN
Bendel Insurance
2 - 2
Kwara United
KWA
50%
28%
22%
64 71 7 +1
12 Nov. 2023
KWA
Kwara United
1 - 1
Shooting Stars
SHO
38%
29%
34%
64 67 3 0
05 Nov. 2023
ENY
Enyimba
1 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
61%
23%
16%
64 71 7 0

Matches

Doma United FC
Doma United FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
DUF
Doma United FC
1 - 0
Niger Tornadoes
NIG
18%
24%
58%
27 65 38 0
25 Nov. 2023
REM
Remo Stars
0 - 0
Doma United FC
DUF
71%
20%
9%
27 70 43 0
18 Nov. 2023
DUF
Doma United FC
1 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
18%
27%
55%
25 71 46 +2
15 Nov. 2023
DUF
Doma United FC
1 - 0
Enyimba
ENY
21%
29%
50%
24 71 47 +1
11 Nov. 2023
DUF
Doma United FC
1 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
19%
28%
53%
22 71 49 +2