Krylia Sovetov vs Dynamo Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
16º
10º
15
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 69 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 64 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 54 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 27 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 25 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 25 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 24 |
16º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
5 - 1
KRS
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KRS
3 - 1
OLY
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 0
KRS
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KRS
0 - 3
SPA
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KRS
2 - 0
FAK
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
DMK
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 0
DMK
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 0
TER
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
DMK
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 0
DMK
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |