Kruger United vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
15º
15º
8
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
15 | 57 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 55 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 52 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 41 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 40 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 26 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
67.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kruger United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 0
KRU
70%
19%
11%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KRU
0 - 0
JDR
19%
24%
57%
|
8 | 59 | 51 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
1 - 3
MIL
14%
18%
67%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
KRU
75%
16%
9%
|
8 | 60 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
1 - 0
PCF
16%
22%
61%
|
7 | 56 | 49 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 1
UCF
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LER
2 - 0
AJA
21%
26%
54%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
HLF
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |