NK Krka vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KRK
4 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 0
KRK
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
KRK
3 - 0
CEL
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NKD
0 - 1
KRK
62%
21%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
KRK
5 - 0
KRS
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SMA
2 - 3
SEN
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
SMA
44%
23%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 3
NKD
26%
26%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
KRS
1 - 2
SMA
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 2
ZAV
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |