Kremin vs Illichivets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kremin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 0
KRE
28%
25%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
KRE
4 - 0
SHD
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 0
KRE
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
KRE
2 - 1
SHA
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ARK
3 - 3
KRE
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
ILL
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 0
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ARK
1 - 0
ILL
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 4
TYT
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
STA
2 - 0
ILL
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |