KPV vs KaPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
6º
4º
27
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 10 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 10 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
31 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KPV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFJ
3 - 1
KPV
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KPV
2 - 3
EKE
20%
23%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 1
KPV
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
KPV
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KPV
1 - 1
KER
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 1
KAP
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JAP
4 - 4
KAP
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 1
KPV
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
2 - 0
TPS
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EKE
2 - 1
KAP
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |