Europa League 1/32
Global 4-1
Legia Warszawa vs Viking Stavanger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
RCH
3 - 2
WAR
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
WAR
3 - 0
ZAL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
STA
0 - 1
WAR
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
WAR
4 - 3
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
GKS
1 - 1
WAR
39%
30%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
VKG
1 - 0
VIF
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
MJO
3 - 0
VKG
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1985 |
VKG
0 - 3
LSK
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
VKG
4 - 0
ETO
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
KON
3 - 1
VKG
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |