Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 4-2
Legia Warszawa vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
DYS
3 - 3
WAR
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 3
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
RCH
1 - 1
WAR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
WAR
0 - 0
OWD
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
WIS
1 - 1
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 3
WAR
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
VAR
3 - 0
F91
50%
23%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
F91
1 - 1
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
OSO
0 - 1
VAR
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 0
JUG
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |