Oberliga Bayern Sud round 28

Kottern vs FC Deisenhofen analysis

Kottern FC Deisenhofen
32 ELO 23
-3.2% Tilt -6.6%
6880º General ELO ranking 5481º
255º Country ELO ranking 184º
ELO win probability
63.8%
Kottern
19.4%
Draw
16.8%
FC Deisenhofen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
Kottern
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.8%
Win probability
FC Deisenhofen
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kottern
-7%
-11%
FC Deisenhofen

Points and table prediction

Kottern
Their league position
FC Deisenhofen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
17º
44
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schalding-Heining
73
73
100%
Memmingen
63
63
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
60
60
0%
Landsberg
60
60
100%
Kottern
60
60
0%
Kirchanschöring
58
58
100%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
54
54
100%
1860 München II
53
53
100%
FC Gundelfingen
50
50
100%
Ismaning
10º
50
50
10º
100%
TSV Nördlingen
11º
46
46
11º
100%
FC Deisenhofen
12º
44
44
12º
100%
SV Erlbach
13º
42
42
13º
100%
Dachau
14º
40
40
14º
100%
VfR Garching
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Türkspor Augsburg
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Rosenheim
17º
21
21
17º
100%
VfB Hallbergmoos
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kottern
FC Deisenhofen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kottern
FC Deisenhofen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kottern
Kottern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
DAC
Dachau
1 - 0
Kottern
KOT
17%
21%
63%
33 19 14 0
01 Apr. 2023
KOT
Kottern
1 - 1
Schalding-Heining
SCH
36%
23%
41%
33 35 2 0
25 Mar. 2023
186
1860 München II
0 - 4
Kottern
KOT
45%
24%
31%
32 33 1 +1
18 Mar. 2023
KOT
Kottern
2 - 3
Türkspor Augsburg
TUR
78%
14%
8%
34 18 16 -2
11 Mar. 2023
TSV
TSV Nördlingen
0 - 1
Kottern
KOT
39%
23%
38%
34 28 6 0

Matches

FC Deisenhofen
FC Deisenhofen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
DEI
FC Deisenhofen
2 - 0
FC Gundelfingen
FCG
44%
24%
32%
22 24 2 0
01 Apr. 2023
MEM
Memmingen
2 - 1
FC Deisenhofen
DEI
68%
18%
14%
23 33 10 -1
25 Mar. 2023
DEI
FC Deisenhofen
2 - 1
VfB Hallbergmoos
VFB
72%
17%
11%
24 16 8 -1
18 Mar. 2023
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
3 - 0
FC Deisenhofen
DEI
67%
18%
15%
26 33 7 -2
11 Mar. 2023
DEI
FC Deisenhofen
1 - 1
Ismaning
ISM
51%
23%
26%
26 25 1 0