Tweede Divisie round 1

Koninklijke HFC vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis

Koninklijke HFC Excelsior Maassluis
55 ELO 54
-8.5% Tilt 1.2%
3025º General ELO ranking 4085º
55º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Koninklijke HFC
26.3%
Draw
35.9%
Excelsior Maassluis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
Koninklijke HFC
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.9%
Win probability
Excelsior Maassluis
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Koninklijke HFC
+3%
+50%
Excelsior Maassluis

Points and table prediction

Koninklijke HFC
Their league position
Excelsior Maassluis
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
10º
6
16º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spakenburg
23
70
36.5%
Quick Boys
26
70
28%
Rijnsburgse Boys
24
65
16.5%
Amsterdamsche FC
20
64
19.5%
Katwijk
21
62
16%
BVV Barendrecht
19
60
16%
GVVV
18
53
14%
HHC Hardenberg
19
48
15.5%
De Treffers
13º
12
47
13%
Koninklijke HFC
17
46
10º
13%
ACV Assen
10º
15
44
11º
12%
Jong Almere City
11º
12
41
12º
10.5%
Jong Sparta
12º
12
41
13º
13%
RKAV Volendam
15º
8
37
14º
16.5%
ADO 20
17º
7
30
15º
14.5%
VV Noordwijk
16º
7
27
16º
21.5%
Excelsior Maassluis
18º
6
27
17º
22%
Scheveningen
14º
8
22
18º
51%
Expected probabilities
Koninklijke HFC
Excelsior Maassluis
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
99% 39%
Relegation play-offs
1% 45.5%
Relegation
0% 15.5%

ELO progression

Koninklijke HFC
Excelsior Maassluis
Quick Boys
HHC Hardenberg
De Treffers
VV Noordwijk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
TEL
SC Telstar
2 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
58%
21%
21%
54 60 6 0
27 Jul. 2024
KAT
Katwijk
0 - 2
Koninklijke HFC
KON
56%
22%
22%
54 59 5 0
13 Jul. 2024
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
69%
18%
13%
54 66 12 0
25 May. 2024
KON
Koninklijke HFC
0 - 2
Jong Almere City
ALM
45%
25%
30%
55 52 3 -1
18 May. 2024
LIS
Lisse
2 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
18%
23%
58%
55 39 16 0

Matches

Excelsior Maassluis
Excelsior Maassluis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
AFC
Amsterdamsche FC
1 - 0
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
56%
22%
22%
55 61 6 0
06 Aug. 2024
SPO
Sportlust 46
0 - 1
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
36%
24%
40%
55 53 2 0
03 Aug. 2024
IJS
IJsselmeervogels
1 - 1
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
45%
23%
32%
55 55 0 0
30 Jul. 2024
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 1
TOGB
TOG
54%
22%
24%
55 50 5 0
27 Jul. 2024
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 0
GOES
GOE
40%
22%
38%
55 53 2 0