Tweede Divisie round 1

Koninklijke HFC vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis

Koninklijke HFC Excelsior Maassluis
55 ELO 54
-8.5% Tilt 1.2%
3024º General ELO ranking 4068º
55º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
37.8%
Koninklijke HFC
26.3%
Draw
35.9%
Excelsior Maassluis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
Koninklijke HFC
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.9%
Win probability
Excelsior Maassluis
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Koninklijke HFC
+9%
+28%
Excelsior Maassluis

Points and table prediction

Koninklijke HFC
Their league position
Excelsior Maassluis
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
10º
12
15º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Quick Boys
33
73
48.5%
Rijnsburgse Boys
31
68
20%
Spakenburg
27
67
16.5%
Amsterdamsche FC
29
67
15.5%
Katwijk
27
61
22%
BVV Barendrecht
23
57
17%
GVVV
24
55
19%
HHC Hardenberg
22
48
21%
De Treffers
10º
16
47
18%
Koninklijke HFC
20
45
10º
14.5%
Jong Sparta
12º
15
40
11º
13.5%
Jong Almere City
11º
15
38
12º
17%
RKAV Volendam
14º
12
37
13º
12.5%
ACV Assen
13º
15
35
14º
12.5%
VV Noordwijk
16º
11
31
15º
17.5%
Excelsior Maassluis
15º
12
31
16º
15%
ADO 20
18º
8
27
17º
25.5%
Scheveningen
17º
11
24
18º
46%
Expected probabilities
Koninklijke HFC
Excelsior Maassluis
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
98.5% 59.5%
Relegation play-offs
1.5% 32%
Relegation
0% 8.5%

ELO progression

Koninklijke HFC
Excelsior Maassluis
RKAV Volendam
Katwijk
GVVV
ADO 20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
KAT
Katwijk
0 - 2
Koninklijke HFC
KON
56%
22%
22%
54 59 5 0
27 Jul. 2024
TEL
SC Telstar
2 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
58%
21%
21%
54 60 6 0
13 Jul. 2024
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
69%
18%
13%
54 66 12 0
25 May. 2024
KON
Koninklijke HFC
0 - 2
Jong Almere City
ALM
45%
25%
30%
55 52 3 -1
18 May. 2024
LIS
Lisse
2 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
18%
23%
58%
55 39 16 0

Matches

Excelsior Maassluis
Excelsior Maassluis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
AFC
Amsterdamsche FC
1 - 0
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
56%
22%
22%
55 61 6 0
06 Aug. 2024
SPO
Sportlust 46
0 - 1
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
36%
24%
40%
55 53 2 0
03 Aug. 2024
IJS
IJsselmeervogels
1 - 1
Excelsior Maassluis
EXC
45%
23%
32%
55 55 0 0
30 Jul. 2024
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 1
TOGB
TOG
54%
22%
24%
55 50 5 0
27 Jul. 2024
EXC
Excelsior Maassluis
1 - 0
GOES
GOE
40%
22%
38%
55 53 2 0