Koninklijke HFC vs ACV Assen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
11º
25
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 73 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 58 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 21 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 20 |
18º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 0
KON
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
PSV
8 - 0
KON
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HHC
1 - 2
KON
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GVV
3 - 1
KON
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ACV
3 - 2
AFC
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
ADO
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KAT
2 - 2
ACV
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ACV
0 - 1
DET
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ACV
0 - 1
EXC
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |