Köln II vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
PAD
4 - 1
DIE
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
DIE
0 - 1
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 0
DIE
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
DIE
2 - 1
ROT
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
OSN
0 - 1
DIE
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
3 - 1
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 0
HAM
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 2
WAT
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
PRE
2 - 1
HAM
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 0
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |