Kitchee FC vs Lee Man Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
4º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SDI
0 - 3
KFC
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 2
EAS
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
KFC
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HKU
0 - 6
KFC
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WTP
0 - 0
KFC
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 6
WAR
9%
18%
74%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
NDT
0 - 4
WAR
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SDI
0 - 1
WAR
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
HON
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |