Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
6º
5º
20
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CIP
0 - 0
KIM
52%
28%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
KIM
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KIM
1 - 1
CSS
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
KIM
53%
27%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Rincón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 0
CSS
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 2
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAU
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 2
SAU
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |