Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FAL
0 - 0
KIL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
KIL
4 - 1
ICT
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HIB
2 - 0
KIL
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
KIL
1 - 0
STM
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 2
KIL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HOM
0 - 0
FAL
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ICT
0 - 3
HOM
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
HOM
0 - 4
GLA
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |