Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
KIL
0 - 3
GLA
20%
23%
58%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1997 |
NIC
3 - 1
KIL
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
HIB
4 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
STJ
1 - 2
HOM
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
43%
25%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
HIB
0 - 1
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |