Kidderminster Harriers vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
KID
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
KID
1 - 0
BRA
33%
29%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KID
3 - 0
RAD
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
KID
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
STC
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
1 - 4
SOU
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
OXF
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 2
DAR
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
OXF
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
5 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |