Kidderminster Harriers vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 1
KID
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
BUX
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUX
1 - 1
KID
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KID
0 - 1
ALF
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KID
2 - 1
LEE
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
BAM
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
GUI
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
SCU
25%
23%
53%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 2
WOR
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 3
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |